Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
Abstract The French Club of Pediatric Intensive Care has prospectively studied 90 cases of infectious purpura which were hospitalized in 1981; the purpose of this study was to determine prognostic factors. The statistical study (X2 test) of all these cases is in agreement with data in the literature and shows that the mortality is significantly higher when there is: shock (p〈0.001), coma (p〈0.05), ecchymotic or necrotic purpura (p〈0.01), temperature 〈36°C (p〈0.05), no clinical meningism (p〈0.001), white cell count 〈10,000/mm3 (p〈0.05), thrombocytopenia 〈100,000 (p〈0.01), fibrinogen 〈1.5 g/l (p〈0.001), kalemia 〉5 mEq/l (p〈0.01), spinal fluid cell count 〈20/mm3 (p〈0.01). Because shock is one of the main prognostic factors (23 deaths in 55 shocked patients, versus 2 in 35 non-shocked) we have performed another statistical study (with the Benzecri method) to determine a prognostic index for patients in shock. For its determination, five initial parameters are used: age, kalemia, white cell count, clinical meningism, platelet count. The predictive value for survival is 91%. The predictive value for death is 87%. The score was applied on the patients hospitalized in shock in 1982: the predictive value for survival is 75%, the predictive value for death is 61%.
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